Gardenworld Politics; the book

Here is the link to the  draft introductory chapter.

GWP Chapter 1. Setting the Scene – sent version feb 2020

The blog posts will be about the book, about news that pertains to the book, following up on the core idea: after the chronavirus and going into climate change,  dispersal of the human population into niches in the landscape where living is possible, where water can be found,  and sunlight provides energy, will be the challenge we face.  Gardenworld brings together the need for food and habitat with  humans engaged in the craftsmanship to make new communities that meet needs and are attractive. We consider the major alternative, the technological acceleration scenario.

The following posts are the continuation of the blog

2147. Post past turns into to pre future.

Much talk now of rethinking the economy. Less of redoing politics but the two obviously go together.  Most of the talk is about what is broken or abandoned. Not much on what all this daily chaos is pre to. Gardenworld looms now  as the project of the future.

I think it comes down to – be  careful what we build in these early stages of recovery that will come because it will replicate itself out to make a future we are bound to live out. Early steps lead to early lock- in to the momentum of decisions and acts.

2146.Capitalists and democracy

I find myself thinking that capitalism, often mystified,  and democracy are parallel systems for decision making about the direction of society. But capital gives the power to those who have it and the rest are disenfranchised whereas democracy is all inclusive. The problem is that capital (those who have it), over time, increasingly controlled the democracy by putting forth alternatives that only represent their own interests.

2145. Venn diagram and economic reach.

Economics is frequently accused of marginalizing much of reality. A Venn diagram approach to overlapping domains could be an excellent research strategy. Lets look at possible overlapping circles (can be seen as sets).

  • Economy
    Society
    Economics
    Democracy
    Tyranny
    Technocracy.
    Politics
    Demographics.
    Governance
    Chambers such as congress in te US.
    Bureaucracy

What seems clear is how limited that any  one, or just a few, is as a set of questions. The questions of our time seem to require all of them because often the next step in exploring a question would be into another domain. And of course many more could be added.

2144. Big forces

Look at large scale hard to change facts.

The causes of our current predicament..

  • population plus coal (later, oil) lead to increase in population leads to increased co2 in the atmosphere lead to environmental collapse lead to inability to support population.
  •  add human nature:  status  seeking, clever, technology, individualism…

the rest is details.

Therefore  what to do…? What can change the scale of these dynamics and alter the outcome?

Is it like

  • Fall of Rome
  • French Revolution
  • WW1,2
  • Collapse of complex societies
  • Toynbee’s failed empires (all of them)

Is there a technocratic democratic broad distribution post work new human centered solution possible? Can we fit humanity to a post carbon world?

 

2143. Next for society and economy

Provocation 253 next for economy and society

We face a destabilization of the current economy and the larger society.

We can respond

  • return to the old economy
  • Reconfigure society and economy.

For reconfigure there are two plausible scenarios

  1. Radical decentralization
  2. Use big data and AI to manage the world

2142. Virus, AI, Big Data, and marginalizing the people

One aspect concerning  me is the tendency for many, especially in the professional class,  to want a solution to pandemics and inequality that is some form of welfare that has the consequence, somewhat intended, of reducing  the bulk of the population to welfare recipients rather than creating the conditions for people to  have the capacity for action to make their own lives, as individuals and communities.

The Big Data AI fantasy is for the elite, as Silicon Valley’s major customer,  to own all the agency in society and to subsidize the  rest of us marginally maintained only by a residue of fading  humanitarian  concern.

2141. COVID-19 and climate disaster

I am very aware and concerned that the virus discussion and needed responses are eclipsing the view of the climate problem and its needed responses.

Freud, to bring back the dead, wrote in the context of therapy

… the scene of a dog race in which the prize was to be a garland of sausages but which some humorist spoiled by throwing a single sausage on to the track. The result was of course that the dogs threw themselves upon it and forgot all about the race and about the garland that was luring them on to the victory in the far distance.

Observations on transference love. 385 therapy and tehcnique.

 

2140. COVID-19 and the economy – the issues.

Here is a quick attempt to summarize the arguments. Obviously can use reworking but it is an example of what each of us should try to do: struggle to get our thoughts clarified.

Short form o f the arguments: The complex situation analytically breaks down in to supply side shock, demand side shock both happening, that stimulus leads to inflation, that the hope for recovery in counter to the needs of coping with climate change. AI and big data will be used to manage the recovery and that system will be owned by the big corporations.

Longer form of the arguments: The current virus damaged situation has created both a demand shock and a supply shock. There is no way to simply restart the economy at the end of the crises. A chunk, perhaps a few months worth of production has been lost and is not regained simply by starting the economy. In fact starting the economy takes a ramp-up period, rehiring some workers and hiring some new ones, all needing to be trained and integrated . At the sme time supply chains are slow to be rebuilt. In this context where production is down, workers did not come to work and were not paid, a stimulus would give unemployed workers the cash to buy things that were not made. So stimulus leads to inflation because people have money but since they are not working the products and services were not being produced in the same amount. Workers with more cash in the context of less production means inflation if the workers fry to buy the same things.

Stimulus goes to poor who pay rent , and this cash ends up in stock of the rich, since much of the rent h goes to pay loans of the landlord who borrowed the money to buy the building. Who gets the money paid by the renter to the landward to the bank to its stockholders..?

Some are comparing the situation to a great depression, others to WW2. It took a long time to recover from the depression because the whole society took time to grow the relationships and infrastructure need for production and distribution, both supply side and the demand side were weakened. The comparison with the war fails because during ww2 the US had full employment and – since production was diverted to war – the workers had los of stored up purchasing power and the economy took off rapidly. Europe on the other hand was devastated, had poor starving workers and no production and took a long tome to rebuild.

People are talking about economic recovery, getting back on track, but that means growth and more use of energy which means more fossil fuel use and production of co2 into the atmosphere. The slowdown we are experiencing is what we logically need to cope with global warming toward the fateful 2 degrees. We need to cut co2 production by 90% in ten years and make progress on taking the co2 in the atmosphere out because, even with no new co2 produced, what already is in the atmosphere works its blanket effect.

If we try to create a rich recovery it makes sense that the emerging economy, with new and reconfigured relations between and within corporations, will be modeled and managed by big data and Ai in a new system controlled by large corporations.

2139. ancient cities and open governance around gardens

This article is extremely helpful in setting the condtiotins for Gardenworld

David Wengrow

a few quotes.

In fact, surprisingly few early cities show signs of authoritarian rule. There is no evidence for the existence of monarchy in the first urban centres of the Middle East or South Asia, which date back to the fourth and early third millennia BCE; and even after the inception of kingship in Mesopotamia, written sources tell us that power in cities remained in the hands of self-governing councils and popular assemblies.

and

Instead we find circular arrangements of houses, each with its attached garden, forming neighbourhoods around assembly halls; an urban pattern of life, built and maintained from the bottom-up, which lasted in this form for over eight centuries