Post 2032. Reflexivity and details of climate response at the micro level.

The meme of climate change is spreading rapidly. Moreover the reaction to that meme is also widely distributed. The reaction is..

  • Yes, climate change is real.
  • Yes, we have no adequate idea what to do about it.
  • No point in doing anything if others don’t do something significant that I could be part of..

Seems to me this is a major reflexivity event. “My thinking is based on my thinking about what you are thinking I am thinking.” Mirrors talking to each other. A reflexivity analysis of this state of affairs could be very helpful.

A new problem is that the reflexivity includes those who are dead. The cause of the crises is in the past, primarily increasing population. But we are now living with the results and have no access to the cause.

One of the chief failures of analysis of those trying to figure out what to do is to not be aware of the micro level problem of shifting from fossil fuel to electric power. Economists look for parity when solar/wind produced electricity costs the same (and falling) as gas/coal produced electricity making the switch a simple economic one . What this fails to take into account is that the fifty percent of American homes heated by gas would have to give up the gas burning appliance and replace them  with an electric heating appliance. That means maybe 50-100 million new electric heaters  in the US alone, but there seems to be little analysis of who pays for the new appliances, how are we to manufacture that many, doesn’t the manufacturing process require the use of old polluting technologies?. This is just one of a large number of cascading decompositions of the current economy. The response, “This will take time,” assumes that we have time, ten to forty years. I am in conversations that say “this is going to be a terrible summer of storms and fires and failing agriculture” – this summer.

Yet the Internet is filled with proposals of the form “invest in my green techbecause it will make you money.” The urgency of the problem is being met with urgent fragmented proposals of the kind that make ordinary people cynical and despairing.

The cry for  centralized authority that can roll over national policies will begin shortly. Do we have an alternative approach?

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