#2018 Why Trump won. Economic more than identity

The Economic and Social Roots of Populist Rebellion: Support for Donald Trump in 2016
Thomas Ferguson, Benjamin Page, Jacob Rothschild, Arturo Chang, and Jie Chen∗

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https://www.ineteconomics.org/uploads/papers/WP_83-Ferguson-et-al.pdf

Important.

ABSTRACT This paper critically analyzes voting patterns in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Using survey data from the American National Election Survey and aggregate data on Congressional districts, it assesses the roles that economic and social factors played in Donald J. Trump’s “Populist” candidacy. It shows the hollowness of claims that economic issues played little or no role in the campaign and that social factors such as race or gender suffice to explain the outcome. While agreeing that racial resentment and sexism were important influences, the paper shows how various economic considerations helped

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